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Vol. LXIV, No. 12
June 8, 2012

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Spiegelhalter To Discuss Harms, Benefits of Treatment, Lifestyle
Dr. David Spiegelhalter of the University of Cambridge will speak at NIH on June 20.
Dr. David Spiegelhalter of the University of Cambridge will speak at NIH on June 20.

Prof. David Spiegelhalter, Winton professor of the public understanding of risk, senior scientist, Medical Research Council biostatistics unit, associate fellow, Centre for Science and Policy, University of Cambridge, will speak at NIH on Wednesday, June 20 from 10 a.m. to noon in Bldg. 45, Rms. E1/E2.

There is increasing attention to presenting potential benefits and harms of treatments and lifestyle choices in a balanced and transparent way. Spiegelhalter will discuss some proposals for how this might be done, focusing on alternative ways in which numbers and graphics may be used and emphasizing the role of interactive animations and videos. Recent research on public preferences and understanding of different formats strongly suggests that one size does not fit all; a range of alternative presentations may be appropriate.

Spiegelhalter’s background is in medical statistics, particularly the use of Bayesian methods in clinical trials, health technology assessment and drug safety. He led the statistical team in the Bristol Royal Infirmary Inquiry and also gave evidence to the Shipman Inquiry. He has been a consultant to a number of public and private organizations including pharmaceutical companies. In his current post, he leads a small team that is attempting to improve the way in which the quantitative aspects of risk and uncertainty are discussed in society.

He was elected a fellow of the Royal Society in 2005 and awarded an Order of the British Empire in 2006 for services to medical statistics.

The seminar is sponsored by the Office of Disease Prevention, NIAAA, NCI and NHLBI. Registration is not required; seating is on a first-come, first-served basis.

Sign language interpreters will be provided. Those who require reasonable accommodation to participate should contact Paris Watson at or (301) 496-6615.

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